Probability 2


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Probability 2


 

Permutations

1) You have two dice. You roll both dice. What is they probability that you will roll snake eyes (that is both die land as 1). The sample space is all the possible outcomes rolling the dice. To determine this take each possibility for one die along with all the possibilities for the second die like so:


die 1 die 2


1 1,2,3,4,5,6 6 outcomes

2 1,2,3,4,5,6 6 outcomes

3 1,2,3,4,5,6 6 outcomes

4 1,2,3,4,5,6 6 outcomes

5 1,2,3,4,5,6 6 outcomes

6 1,2,3,4,5,6 6 outcomes

For die 1 we get 36 outcomes.

We are not done, we must consider die 2 compared to die 1.

For each landing of die2 there are 6 possible landings for die 1, so for die 2 we get another 36 possibilities. (think of it this way, let die one be green and die two be red.)

So our possible outcome (sample) space contains 72 outcomes. Snake eyes occurs twice in this space so we have 2/72 = 1/36 = 0.028 = 2.8%.


  1. Once again you have two dice. What is the probability that you get a sum of 5?


Well, the sample space here is the same as the previous one; 72 pairing of the die.

The sum 5 can occur as 1 + 4, 4 + 1, 2 + 3, and 3 + 2 which is 4 ways. So our probability of getting the sum 5 is 4 / 72 = 0.056 = 5.6%.


  1. Consider example 2 above. What sum of the thrown dice has the highest probability of occurring?

To answer this question it’s best to use a table like so:

Die 1 outcomes along leftmost column, die 2 outcomes along top row, sums in the table.

 


1

2

3

4

5

6

1

2

3

4

5

6

7

2

3

4

5

6

7

8

3

4

5

6

7

8

9

4

5

6

7

8

9

10

5

6

7

8

9

10

11

6

7

8

9

10

11

12

 

 

 

 

 

 

 



Notice there 7 occurs most in this table 6 times, so it has the highest probability of occurring 6/36 = 1/6 = 0.167 = 16.7%. On the other extreme, there is only one way to get a sum of 2 or 12, with each having a probability of 1/36 = 0.028 = 2.8%. (Note: this table shows 36 outcomes, not 72 as previously, realizing that each sum has 2 pairings that are indistinguishable (die of the same color) we can divide this sample space by two.)



  1. There are 26 marbles in a bowl. 4 are red, 16 are green, and 6 are black. You draw one marble from the bowl, what is the probability the marble is red or black?


Sample space is 26. There are 4 ways to choose a red and 6 ways to choose a black, so we have 4/26 + 6/26 = 10/26 = 38.5%


5) You have 4 pair of green socks, 6 pair of black socks, 10 pair of white socks and 16 pair of red socks in your drawer, none folded and all mixed together. Suppose in the dark you want to make sure you choose 2 of the same color. How many socks do you need to choose to make sure?


Well, once you've chosen your first sock, it is one of the 4 colors, say green. Now the second choice, if it is green, you're done. Any other color and you must move onto the next choice since you have two socks of different colors. The third choice could be one of these two, then you're done, but it could be a third color. So you move on. The fourth choice gives you a match or does not; if a match you're done, else you have one of each color. The fifth choice must give you two matching socks since it must be one of the colors you already have.


What's the probability that fifth choice will be black? There are 72 socks initially and we've chosen one of each color to this point, so we only have 72 - 4 = 68 socks to choose from. Since we already have one black sock, that gives us 6 pair -1 = 11 black socks out of 68 socks to choose, so we have 11/68 = 0.162 = 16.2%.

 

 


This is another FREE ALGEBRA PRINTABLE presented to you from the Algebra section of K12math.com

 
 

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